While it was believed to be certain that incumbent ChancellorAngela Merkel will be again the candidate for the CDU/CSU, information pertaining to the identity of the SPD's chancellor candidate has been more speculative. Declining popularity of former party chairman Kurt Beck led to numerous speculations whether foreign minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier or finance minister Peer Steinbrück could end up as SPD candidate.[2][3] In a party meeting on September 7, 2008, SPD council members tapped Steinmeier to lead the charge against Angela Merkel.[4]
On recent poll numbers, it is also considered a possibility that both of the traditional coalitions (CDU/CSU-FDP and SPD-Greens) will again fail to win a governing majority in the next election. Should such a case occur, alternative models often discussed by the media as well as party representatives include the so-called "Traffic light" (SPD-FDP-Greens) and "Jamaica" (CDU/CSU-FDP-Greens) coalitions.
The CSU has stated it definitely does not want another term with a grand coalition after the election.